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Red80
55187.7
453418.6
873823.0
Blue29
99941.8
551110.4
516013.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542901001502008029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.0
20.520.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 9.3
5160
#18
13.71.3
15.013.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
4534
#10
18.60.0
17.817.8
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
red by 8.2
5511
#15
10.41.3
12.310.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Third
5518
#21
7.70.0
6.96.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 5.9
9994
#14
1.82.2
4.92.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed