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Red30
999010.6
744316.1
99922.3
Blue35
99967.2
38227.4
90424.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242001030405060703035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.5
14.915.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
red by 8.7
3822
#19
7.41.4
6.07.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Second
10.60.8
10.411.2
Auto6.5
Teleop3.8
End0.0
red by 3.3
7.22.4
5.07.3
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Third
9992
#23
2.30.8
-2.5-1.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
blue by 2.0
9042
#12
4.31.4
2.84.2
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed