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Red54
650021.5
456118.8
33497.7
Blue39
51907.1
789015.6
373718.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514102060801001205439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.7
20.020.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 2.8
18.70.0
19.019.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Second
4561
#11
18.80.7
17.317.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 3.2
15.60.0
13.013.1
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Third
3349
#16
7.70.7
6.97.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
red by 0.5
5190
#22
7.10.0
6.26.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed