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Red70
873823.0
789015.6
99922.3
Blue25
551110.4
99941.8
56078.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412101001502007025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
20.520.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 12.6
5511
#15
10.40.2
10.910.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Second
15.60.3
13.113.4
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 7.0
5607
#17
8.60.2
9.18.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
9992
#23
2.30.5
-1.7-1.2
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
red by 0.5
9994
#14
1.80.3
2.72.4
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.2