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Red54
55187.7
744316.1
453418.6
Blue42
516013.7
38227.4
672918.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454430354050555442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#10
18.60.3
17.818.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 0.4
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
16.10.3
15.315.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End2.6
red by 2.4
5160
#18
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
5518
#21
7.70.3
6.97.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 0.2
3822
#19
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End1.3