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Red5
56078.6
99941.8
551110.4
Blue32
776324.6
69084.4
99967.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19480406080100120140532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5511
#15
10.40.4
10.810.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 14.2
24.60.1
24.524.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Second
5607
#17
8.60.4
8.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
red by 1.3
7.20.1
7.16.9
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Third
9994
#14
1.80.6
2.41.8
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.2
blue by 2.7
6908
#24
4.40.1
4.34.2
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.6