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Red25
90424.3
33497.7
48163.5
Blue49
516013.7
38227.4
672918.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12490204060801001202549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3349
#16
7.70.1
7.57.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 11.3
18.90.1
18.918.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
9042
#12
4.30.1
4.24.3
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.7
blue by 9.5
5160
#18
13.70.1
13.713.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
4816
#13
3.50.1
3.43.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 4.0
3822
#19
7.40.1
7.47.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End1.3