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Red26
92986.5
688817.3
69322.3
Blue6
99906.2
97896.4
91500.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3611020406080266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.2
14.814.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.6
red by 10.8
6.40.3
3.63.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Second
9298
#21
6.50.2
8.58.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End0.8
red by 0.3
9990
#19
6.20.6
3.63.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Third
6932
#11
2.30.2
6.46.1
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
red by 1.6
9150
#16
0.70.3
4.13.7
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed