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Red59
998212.4
482820.0
319620.8
Blue30
49353.5
663924.9
99951.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514201001502002505930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.5
23.122.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End0.5
blue by 4.1
24.90.2
24.324.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
4828
#12
20.00.5
17.016.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
red by 16.5
4935
#22
3.50.2
4.94.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Third
12.40.8
6.25.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End0.5
red by 10.6
9995
#18
1.80.4
4.54.1
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed