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Red80
99906.2
58721.3
872723.2
Blue11
97896.4
92986.5
350621.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6338020801001201401608011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#10
23.20.7
30.130.8
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End1.8
red by 1.6
3506
#14
21.61.7
25.523.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End0.7
Second
587
#9
21.30.7
19.420.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 14.8
9298
#21
6.51.7
8.36.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Third
9990
#19
6.21.2
3.04.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 0.3
6.41.7
3.21.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed