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Red22
688817.3
87576.3
90054.1
Blue60
69322.3
91500.7
949637.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325501001502260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.6
14.513.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 20.0
37.30.5
37.437.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Second
8757
#20
6.30.6
7.67.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
red by 4.0
6932
#11
2.30.5
6.16.6
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
Third
9005
#23
4.10.6
8.98.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
red by 3.4
9150
#16
0.70.5
3.74.2
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed