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Red49
264011.3
319620.8
57276.0
Blue34
99850.8
482820.0
663924.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801001204934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.7
22.623.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End0.5
blue by 4.1
24.90.8
24.123.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
2640
#17
11.30.7
11.712.4
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 8.8
4828
#12
20.00.8
16.515.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Third
5727
#13
6.00.7
3.84.6
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 5.2
9985
#15
0.81.4
6.04.6
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed