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Red33
87576.3
350621.6
69322.3
Blue3
92986.5
49353.5
90054.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441806080100333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#14
21.61.3
23.822.5
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End0.7
red by 15.2
9298
#21
6.51.2
6.55.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Second
8757
#20
6.31.3
7.05.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
red by 2.3
9005
#23
4.11.2
8.37.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Third
6932
#11
2.31.3
6.65.3
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
blue by 1.2
4935
#22
3.51.2
4.63.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed