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Red56
99906.2
688817.3
949637.3
Blue27
91500.7
205912.0
99951.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69280204060801001201405627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.3
37.937.6
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End1.4
red by 25.3
12.01.1
16.715.5
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Second
17.30.3
13.913.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.6
red by 15.5
9995
#18
1.81.9
4.12.2
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
Third
9990
#19
6.20.6
4.23.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End0.3
red by 5.5
9150
#16
0.71.1
4.23.1
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned