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Red64
482820.0
264011.3
872723.2
Blue70
58721.3
57276.0
663924.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665002040801001201406470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#10
23.20.9
29.628.7
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End1.8
blue by 1.7
24.91.2
23.224.4
Auto10.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
4828
#12
20.00.9
15.714.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 1.2
587
#9
21.31.2
20.321.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Third
2640
#17
11.30.9
12.411.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 5.3
5727
#13
6.01.2
4.65.8
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed