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Red48
903221.6
373719.4
970711.1
Blue36
560713.2
600413.9
650017.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3437303540454836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.1
12.613.7
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 3.8
6500
#18
17.80.2
12.913.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Second
19.41.3
13.915.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 5.5
6004
#26
13.90.2
12.913.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Third
9707
#14
11.11.3
4.55.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 2.1
5607
#21
13.20.2
7.57.6
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed