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Red49
820512.9
205918.7
453422.1
Blue17
97889.8
830415.1
551111.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55260204060801004917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.2
20.920.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 7.1
8304
#22
15.10.7
8.88.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
2059
#11
18.70.2
15.215.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 7.4
5511
#31
11.40.7
9.48.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
8205
#19
12.90.2
10.410.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 3.1
9788
#33
9.81.8
9.88.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed