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Red46
929712.2
76716.1
322918.5
Blue54
650219.2
830415.1
519010.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233504060801004654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#10
18.50.9
13.514.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 0.6
6502
#12
19.21.6
12.714.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
9297
#16
12.20.9
7.38.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
blue by 2.8
8304
#22
15.11.6
8.510.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
7671
#30
6.10.9
1.42.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 4.8
5190
#20
10.91.6
8.710.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed