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Red50
48164.3
900825.1
650017.8
Blue39
874615.9
970711.1
551111.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402601020506070805039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.0
15.716.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 9.2
8746
#15
15.90.8
10.611.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Second
6500
#18
17.81.0
13.214.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 6.5
5511
#31
11.40.8
8.69.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
4816
#27
4.31.0
5.56.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 6.8
9707
#14
11.10.8
6.16.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed