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Red40
744315.2
87587.5
456121.7
Blue33
382210.2
92596.3
205918.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433101020506070804033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
15.815.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
red by 3.0
2059
#11
18.70.2
14.815.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.7
End1.4
Second
7443
#13
15.20.0
11.011.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 5.0
3822
#28
10.20.2
8.48.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
8758
#35
7.50.0
10.610.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 1.2
9259
#29
6.30.2
6.26.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed