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Red46
929712.2
903221.6
551111.4
Blue39
322918.5
744315.2
373719.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060801004639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.5
15.315.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 2.2
19.40.7
17.216.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
9297
#16
12.20.5
8.28.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
blue by 6.3
3229
#10
18.50.7
13.612.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
Third
5511
#31
11.40.5
9.410.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 3.9
7443
#13
15.20.7
11.010.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed