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Red58
830415.1
345918.7
551811.7
Blue17
80909.2
382210.2
87587.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36260204060805817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.1
16.217.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 8.5
3822
#28
10.20.5
8.98.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Second
8304
#22
15.11.1
10.411.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 5.9
8090
#24
9.20.5
5.14.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Third
5518
#23
11.71.1
4.55.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 4.2
8758
#35
7.50.5
10.910.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed