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Red39
76716.1
551111.4
551811.7
Blue65
970711.1
900825.1
33366.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1740060801003965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
#23
11.71.4
5.67.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 13.4
25.11.8
18.320.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
5511
#31
11.41.4
10.011.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
red by 0.3
9707
#14
11.11.8
7.99.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Third
7671
#30
6.11.4
2.23.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 0.6
3336
#25
6.71.8
7.59.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed