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Red52
560713.2
650219.2
456121.7
Blue36
453422.1
382210.2
88048.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4838102030607080905236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
17.417.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
blue by 0.4
22.10.0
22.622.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
6502
#12
19.20.3
15.615.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 9.0
3822
#28
10.20.0
8.48.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
5607
#21
13.20.3
9.09.3
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 4.9
8804
#17
8.30.0
4.44.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed