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Red57
903221.6
48164.3
97889.8
Blue90
873823.6
482827.5
80909.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31530204060801005790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.1
17.118.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
blue by 5.9
27.51.3
23.224.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
9788
#33
9.81.8
7.29.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End1.1
blue by 13.9
23.61.3
17.719.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
4816
#27
4.31.1
6.67.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 4.9
8090
#24
9.21.3
4.65.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed