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Red58
373719.4
650017.8
205918.7
Blue56
820512.9
516016.3
519010.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54402060801005856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.4
15.816.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 3.1
16.31.2
15.516.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.0
Second
2059
#11
18.70.4
15.816.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 5.9
8205
#19
12.91.2
11.212.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
6500
#18
17.80.4
15.315.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 7.0
5190
#20
10.91.2
10.711.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed