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Red24
820512.9
88048.3
33366.7
Blue42
519010.9
929712.2
874615.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304202060802442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8205
#19
12.91.1
13.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 3.1
8746
#15
15.90.3
14.314.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Second
8804
#17
8.31.1
6.65.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.4
blue by 3.9
9297
#16
12.20.3
10.711.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
3336
#25
6.71.1
8.97.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 4.2
5190
#20
10.90.3
12.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed