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Red61
76716.1
80909.2
903221.6
Blue81
551111.4
205918.7
322918.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365002060801006181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.9
20.221.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 2.9
2059
#11
18.71.1
16.818.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.7
End1.4
Second
8090
#24
9.20.9
7.98.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 9.4
3229
#10
18.51.1
16.417.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
Third
7671
#30
6.10.9
6.17.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 5.3
5511
#31DQ
11.41.1
10.711.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned