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Red74
482827.5
88048.3
744315.2
Blue38
373719.4
516016.3
830415.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455502060801007438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.5
23.424.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 8.1
19.40.7
17.717.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
7443
#13
15.21.5
12.714.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 1.0
16.30.7
16.415.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.0
Third
8804
#17
8.31.5
5.57.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.4
blue by 6.8
8304
#22
15.10.7
14.213.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed