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Red58
970711.1
929712.2
820512.9
Blue38
97889.8
650219.2
87587.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373802060801005838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8205
#19
12.90.5
12.112.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 6.3
6502
#12
19.20.0
17.317.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
9297
#16
12.20.5
11.011.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
red by 2.4
9788
#33
9.80.0
9.99.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End1.1
Third
9707
#14
11.10.5
10.611.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End0.5
red by 3.6
8758
#35
7.50.0
7.37.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed