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Red19
48164.3
519010.9
33366.7
Blue10
62401.3
551111.4
97893.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292004060801910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#20
10.90.7
12.311.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6
blue by 0.5
5511
#31
11.40.6
11.811.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Second
3336
#25
6.70.7
7.87.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End0.8
red by 2.8
9789
#34
3.90.6
5.34.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Third
4816
#27
4.30.7
5.14.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
red by 3.0
6240
#32
1.30.6
2.31.7
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed