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Red68
650219.2
373719.4
551811.7
Blue14
97893.9
830415.1
76716.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532404060801001206814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.3
17.018.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 4.3
8304
#22
15.10.7
13.512.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
6502
#12
19.21.3
17.318.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 13.1
7671
#30
6.10.7
6.86.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Third
5518
#23
11.71.3
10.411.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 7.7
9789
#34
3.90.7
4.73.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed