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Red38
650017.8
87587.5
929712.2
Blue59
92596.3
873823.6
560713.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3844102030506070803859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#18
17.80.2
16.316.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 5.8
23.60.5
21.822.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Second
9297
#16
12.20.2
11.511.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
blue by 1.0
5607
#21
13.20.5
11.311.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
8758
#35
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 1.2
9259
#29
6.30.5
5.86.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed