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Red25
33366.7
453422.1
62401.3
Blue42
744315.2
820512.9
80909.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334001020506070802542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
22.021.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 6.9
7443
#13
15.20.4
14.214.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Second
3336
#25
6.70.4
7.16.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 6.2
8205
#19
12.90.4
12.613.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
6240
#32
1.30.4
1.71.3
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 7.9
8090
#24
9.20.4
8.89.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed