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Red37
516016.3
322918.5
48164.3
Blue43
88048.3
551111.4
345918.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050603743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#10
18.50.0
17.517.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 0.2
18.70.2
18.018.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Second
16.30.0
15.715.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.0
red by 4.9
5511
#31
11.40.2
11.211.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
4816
#27
4.30.0
4.34.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 4.0
8804
#17
8.30.2
7.07.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed