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Red64
830415.1
482827.5
456121.7
Blue45
519010.9
820512.9
970711.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683502060801001201406445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
25.225.3
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 14.6
8205
#19
12.90.1
13.012.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Second
21.70.1
19.419.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
red by 10.6
9707
#14
11.10.1
11.311.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Third
8304
#22
15.10.1
12.812.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 4.2
5190
#20
10.90.1
11.010.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6