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Red68
322918.5
373719.4
874615.9
Blue71
453422.1
929712.2
345918.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5657203040507080901006871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.4
18.318.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
blue by 2.8
22.10.4
21.622.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
3229
#10
18.50.4
17.517.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 0.2
18.70.4
18.218.6
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
8746
#15
15.90.4
14.915.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 3.7
9297
#16
12.20.4
11.712.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6