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Red54
650017.8
345918.7
874615.9
Blue40
650219.2
744315.2
903221.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3844102030506070805440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.1
14.015.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 2.9
21.60.3
13.713.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Second
6500
#18
17.81.1
13.114.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 1.3
6502
#12
19.20.3
13.513.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Third
8746
#15
15.91.1
8.39.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 0.7
7443
#13
15.20.3
12.312.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed