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Red40
48164.3
820512.9
560713.2
Blue55
516016.3
551811.7
929712.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272101040506070804055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5607
#21
13.20.4
7.68.1
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 3.0
16.31.2
11.112.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.0
Second
8205
#19
12.90.4
10.210.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 0.6
9297
#16
12.21.2
6.07.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
4816
#27
4.30.4
5.96.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 7.4
5518
#23
11.71.2
3.04.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed