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Red14
482918.6
34899.2
87572.9
Blue30
56077.5
479528.0
842914.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642203050601430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.62.2
11.99.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 9.4
28.00.8
15.815.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.2
End0.9
Second
3489
#19
9.22.2
10.58.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 5.0
14.20.8
11.610.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
8757
#29
2.92.2
11.08.8
Auto1.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
blue by 4.5
5607
#15
7.50.8
9.68.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed