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Red21
205915.2
88043.3
789014.7
Blue38
600412.9
264213.8
69086.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36332025304045502138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.2
11.510.3
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 1.4
13.80.3
15.415.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
7890
#14
14.71.2
13.912.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 1.9
12.90.3
9.69.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
Third
8804
#27
3.31.2
6.55.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 2.7
6908
#18
6.10.3
4.95.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed