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Red18
91506.6
322911.6
651211.9
Blue17
48166.2
80905.6
650213.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29260102040501817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6512
#12
11.90.7
6.86.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 1.2
6502
#10
13.10.9
12.811.8
Auto1.6
Teleop8.5
End3.0
Second
11.60.7
10.910.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
red by 5.4
4816
#26
6.20.9
7.66.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Third
9150
#22
6.60.7
6.65.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 0.9
8090
#23
5.60.9
5.14.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed