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Red21
90019.7
88043.3
87468.6
Blue23
322911.6
56077.5
33494.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2824010204050602123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#7
19.70.4
14.714.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End1.1
red by 8.2
11.60.1
9.79.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Second
8746
#25
8.60.4
5.45.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 1.1
5607
#15
7.50.1
6.56.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Third
8804
#27
3.30.4
4.74.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 1.0
3349
#16
4.40.1
6.26.2
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed