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Red44
789014.7
479528.0
600412.9
Blue17
482918.6
51908.2
92595.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412701020305060704417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.4
12.813.1
Auto10.9
Teleop16.2
End0.9
red by 9.4
18.61.0
9.68.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Second
7890
#14
14.70.4
13.914.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 6.5
5190
#20
8.21.0
10.89.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
12.90.4
8.99.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 7.8
9259
#24
5.11.0
5.64.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed