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Red7
33494.4
56077.5
87572.9
Blue28
789014.7
90019.7
600412.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17460103040506070728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5607
#15
7.51.3
6.65.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 12.3
900
#7
19.71.1
14.313.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
3349
#16
4.41.3
6.24.9
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.6
End0.8
blue by 10.4
7890
#14
14.71.1
14.313.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
8757
#29
2.91.3
6.24.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
blue by 10.0
12.91.1
9.38.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed