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Red32
91506.6
48166.2
482918.6
Blue2
62400.8
76711.1
58712.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2124010304050322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.4
8.610.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 6.3
587
#17
12.32.2
12.810.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
9150
#22
6.61.4
6.57.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 5.5
7671
#30
1.12.2
4.11.9
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.2
Third
4816
#26
6.21.4
4.45.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.7
red by 5.4
6240
#28
0.82.2
4.82.6
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed