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Red43
34899.2
842914.2
776325.3
Blue13
51908.2
651211.9
88043.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3419010304050604313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.0
12.413.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End0.7
red by 13.4
6512
#12
11.90.6
4.84.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Second
14.21.0
9.210.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
red by 6.0
5190
#20
8.20.6
9.89.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
3489
#19
9.21.0
7.28.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 5.8
8804
#27
3.30.6
4.33.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed