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Red21
600412.9
4354.6
650213.1
Blue5
34899.2
56077.5
58712.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282910204050215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#10
13.10.6
13.713.0
Auto1.6
Teleop8.5
End3.0
red by 0.8
587
#17
12.32.2
8.26.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
12.90.6
7.97.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 3.7
3489
#19
9.22.2
10.48.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
435
#13
4.60.6
5.14.4
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.6
blue by 2.9
5607
#15
7.52.2
6.34.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed