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Red26
48166.2
69086.1
322911.6
Blue16
91506.6
62400.8
51908.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261701020304050602616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.9
11.110.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
red by 3.3
5190
#20
8.20.6
8.57.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Second
4816
#26
6.20.9
5.24.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 0.4
9150
#22
6.60.6
5.54.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Third
6908
#18
6.10.9
5.84.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End0.4
red by 5.3
6240
#28
0.80.6
2.31.7
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed