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Red52
482918.6
88043.3
776325.3
Blue35
789014.7
87572.9
87468.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522010304050605235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.4
14.916.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End0.7
red by 10.6
7890
#14
14.70.4
12.112.5
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Second
18.61.4
11.813.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 10.0
8746
#25
8.60.4
6.56.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
8804
#27
3.31.4
3.04.4
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
red by 0.4
8757
#29
2.90.4
2.53.0
Auto1.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed